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Is There Something Going On With Tariffs?
April 2025 President Trump’s April 2 Executive Order announced the biggest shift in U.S. trade policy in decades. Maybe it is...
Chip Barnett
Apr 172 min read
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Try The Porridge
January 2025 2024 was a second year of 20% gains for the largest stocks. Bond prices fell slightly, but their interest payments helped...
Chip Barnett
Apr 172 min read
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Lower Rates
October 2024 I am optimistic about the markets over the next several months. I think stocks go higher from here. The economy is doing...
Chip Barnett
Apr 172 min read
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Campaign Economic Promises... Big Sigh
July 2024 It’s four months until the election, so let’s get in front of the breathless campaign soundbites. This is not The Most...
Chip Barnett
Apr 172 min read
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A Little Breathing Room
April 2024 This should be a good year for returns. The economy continues to perform well. Geopolitics, while not comforting, have not...
Chip Barnett
Apr 172 min read
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Soft Landing... So Far; part 2
January 2024 After a down 2022, 2023 was a good year for stocks and bonds. Investors started 2023 very concerned about small and mid...
Chip Barnett
Apr 162 min read
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Better Than Expected
October 2023 The economy has been stronger for longer than anyone expected. It’s been a year at least since the calls for recession...
Chip Barnett
Apr 162 min read
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Soft Landing... So Far
July 2023 After a down year in 2022 for both stocks and bonds, 2023 has been a good rebound. When the handful of bank failures occurred...
Chip Barnett
Apr 162 min read
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I Wrote This Letter
April 2023 You may have been hearing about “Chat GPT” in the news recently (generative pre-trained transformer). It’s a way for you to...
Chip Barnett
Apr 163 min read
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Up And To The Right, Some Day
January 2023 The S&P 500 was, with dividends, down 18.3% in 2022. The bond market was down 12%. Rarely are both stocks and bonds down for...
Chip Barnett
Jan 13, 20232 min read
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Boo
October 2022 Stocks and bonds continued their 2022 rout in the third quarter. The S&P is now down about 25% for the year, with the bond...
Chip Barnett
Jan 13, 20232 min read
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Gradually, Then Suddenly
July 2022 This popular description from Hemingway about the way in which a character went bankrupt is how the fall of stocks and bonds...
Chip Barnett
Aug 25, 20222 min read
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Markets Have Changed
April 2022 Markets have changed. Inflation is here for the first time in 40 years, and the Fed will fight it by tighter policy. The red...
Chip Barnett
Aug 25, 20222 min read
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“Price is what you pay; value is what you get."
- Warren Buffett January 2022 2021 was a strong year for large cap stocks, up almost 29%. Select areas like large tech and REITs did even...
Chip Barnett
Aug 25, 20222 min read
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From Transitory to Persistent
October 2021 Through September, stocks are rising this year; bonds are flat. I think that will continue into next year. Consumer demand...
Chip Barnett
Aug 25, 20222 min read
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After the Sugar Rush
July 2021 Everyone is breathing more easily this summer. We’re eating out again, thinking about the shows we want to go see, and having...
Chip Barnett
Aug 25, 20223 min read
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Re-opening
April 2021 The economic re-opening is underway and most economists expect strong GDP growth this year. Everyone knows this. Have stocks...
Chip Barnett
Aug 25, 20222 min read
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Not Your Grandparents' Roaring '20s
January 2021 One of my goals this year is to make these letters less wordy. Understanding investing is so important, but the economics...
Chip Barnett
Aug 25, 20222 min read
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The Big Picture
October, 2020 The “2020 in review” montage videos are going to be longer than usual this year. My brain has been saturated with “breaking...
Chip Barnett
Aug 24, 20222 min read
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Stimulus Party Like It's 1999
July, 2020 Had Punxsutawney Phil woken up February 2, checked his portfolio, and gone back into hibernation until June 30, he would have...
Chip Barnett
Aug 24, 20223 min read
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